Thursday, April 5, 2012

Rebuilding Somalia


The most important economic indicator is the level of household prosperity.  And since the economy is not good unless it’s good for everybody, we should get the mean of all households, say, in the U.S.  Also, since the chain is only as strong as its weakest link, we should get the mean of the lowest ten percent. 
            I’ve been thinking of Somalia.  As it is, we spend a lot of money patrolling the shipping lanes around Somalia.  For a lot less, we could breathe a little prosperity into the communities of Somalia, and make piracy a fruitless fishing expedition. 
            I’d like to drop off the components of a solar power station at various seaside communities of Somalia.  Minimum ten locations.  We should enclose pictures of what the assembled station looks like, as well as blueprints and diagrams of how to put it all together.  There should also be the components of a system to desalinate salt water, which could be powered by the solar power station.  Perhaps nine out of ten of these starter kits would be wasted, stolen, broken, or lost in some way.  If only one became a working system, the great value and possibilities would be immediately obvious to the people of this and surrounding communities.  We would respond by supplying new kits to former recipients who’d been unsuccessful the first time, as well as new communities near the successful community.               
            The overall health of the residents, as well as the quality of life would be greatly improved.  Local agriculture would benefit, primarily household gardens, leading the way to household prosperity and overall community prosperity.      

Thursday, March 8, 2012

The Enabler



            An enabler is someone who encourages, makes possible, or overlooks the unhealthy behavior of someone else.  Making excuses for and even staying with an abusive husband is being an enabler.  Paying bills for an irresponsible adult is being an enabler.  Denying your daughter’s drug addiction, defending your son’s unprovoked fights, even picking up after teenagers is being an enabler. 
            So it is with the U.S. and the state of Israel.  A smart and scrappy group of dispossessed people who only wanted a home—we saw it all in Exodus starring Paul Newman.  They so deserved our support.  Most Americans learned everything they know about Israel from watching that movie, hearing the theme, rooting for this underdog.  Like a favorite child who starts misbehaving, over the years, an empowered Israel committed atrocities on the Palestinians and others, and we in the U.S. looked the other way.  When they seemed threatened, we were more inclined to send money and military supplies, so hard-liners dominated Israeli politics and a chronic state of bad relations with the neighbors ensued.  The truth is that very many Israeli citizens would prefer to live in peace, but they can’t get the majorities they need to change course, and the U.S. participation (enabling behavior) has a lot to do with that.  Now there is such a history of bad events on both sides that this will be an extremely hard situation to heal. 
            Where do we go from here?  For starters, the aid we send should be targeted to encourage businesses in the Palestinian territories that would produce high value added products from Israeli raw materials.  There’s nothing like economic interdependence to help people get along.  Sending military hardware to this area is like sending guns and ammunition to inner city gangs—not really moving things in the right direction. 
            And when the prime minister of Israel comes to Washington, the message is not that “we have your back”.  We don’t take sides.  We have the best interest of all people everywhere

Thursday, March 1, 2012

Million Dollar Accounts

     This is not my idea for a proposed policy for a national health care system--it was a policy question put to a class at Georgetown.  I like this idea so very much that I'm publicizing it and have tweaked it  to include unfortunate individuals under its umbrella. 

     Everyone with a social security number will have attached to this number a health care account for one million dollars.  This money can be used for any health care expense.  It can be used for dental care, vaccinations, eye care and glasses or lenses, diagnostic procedures, insurance premiums, psychiatric care, or any other health care expense.  Only the person with the account (under that particular social security number) can use that account, and it cannot be passed on after that person dies.  It can be used for that person and that person alone.

     I've always felt that a single payer system would be the ideal except for two considerations:   the difficult (prohibitive) transition from what we have to single payer; and the fact that in our country we just don't seem to be able to keep unscrupulous persons from gouging.  With the million dollar accounts, every person would treat this as his or her own money (since it essentially is) and would examine every bill and challenge every charge.  One of the most important considerations in every major policy change is the ease of transition.  The million dollar accounts system would cause the least amount of ripples of any system I've studied.  People who now have insurance can keep that insurance or consider other options, and they can take their time making that decision and making any changes.
     As a society, we will be the strongest we can be going into the future since children would get the eye, dental, and any other care that they need to come of age in the best health possible.
     This plan does come up short for care for children born with expensive conditions, those that would cost more than the million dollars.  Expensive conditions might affect someone at any age.  These unfortunate individuals could perhaps apply for an extension, based on the fact that this expensive condition was not brought on by their own behavior, and that they have been good stewards of their accounts.         
  

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

The Future of Education


The Future of Education

            There will come a time when we can no longer afford to bus our children to a warehouse every morning and bus them all back in the afternoon, with all the accompanying expenses.  This change may be for the better--packing them all together with peers with a minimal amount of guidance is not good socialization, and the mass production method of teaching is not good education.
            At the state level there is enough money to create a computer-based system where a student may play a video game (non-violent) or watch an enrichment video (like the life cycle of a frog or the architecture in Rome) and pay for his or her time on this entertainment by doing some math problems or word problems.  The numbers on the keyboard could call up a short video of an expert teacher explaining the concept behind the problem that the student is currently working on.  With ten digits on the keyboard, the student would have access to ten different expert teachers.  He or she would soon find the one that explains the material best for him or herself, or the student can shop around to any or all of the available teachers.  In our system as it exists today, how many students are reluctant to ask for an explanation?  Ninety-nine times out of a hundred, the student will remain silent rather than ask a question.
            The computer program will detect which concepts an individual student is having problems with, and can accordingly feed that student exercises which gradually build to the desired level of ability.  How many of us feel that there were blind spots in our education because we were absent a day or were simply day-dreaming and missed out on something the rest of the class heard?  Between the student and this program, there will be no stones left unturned.  Every new level will be met on a good solid footing.
            For every major policy change, one of the most important considerations is ease of transition.  Can we try it out in such a way that we can back out if it doesn’t work?  Will the various groups who are involved or dependent on the old system suffer from the change?  This new system can be implemented right now in the classrooms that we already have.  I envision a circle of desks, at every one is a student sitting at a computer.  The teacher goes around the circle with her own laptop, sitting with each student.  She will ask them if they need any help, and help them compose a piece of fiction, non-fiction, or poetry.  She can keep the written pieces on her computer, and send a copy to the student’s computer.  For younger students, the teacher may also help the student with penmanship.  At the time when students are no longer bussed to a school building, the teacher will perform the same function, visiting the student at home. 
            The school building can evolve into a community building, where science labs will still be there for the education of any community member who wishes to learn that material.  In fact, the entire computer-based program should be available to any one of any age who wishes to use it.  The remainder of the school rooms could be turned into workshops for use by members of the community. 
            In our uncertain times, the internet may not be dependable.  The entire program for each grade could be loaded into the individual’s computer at the beginning of the year, so that education would not be interrupted when the internet is down.  Even in these days of student bussing, computer-based education would be very helpful during snow days or sick days, when the students are homebound. 
                    

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Free Enterprise vs. Capitalism


Free Enterprise vs. Capitalism


            I hear people talk about free enterprise and capitalism as if they were interchangeable terms.  Just as hot and cold are the extremes of temperature, free enterprise and capitalism are far apart on the continuum of economic systems.  In fact they are in opposition to each other, since they compete for investment.
            At this point in history, I would say that capitalism is in the lead, with the U.S. firmly in its grasp.  
            The difference is where power and control reside.  A free enterprise system has power and control dispersed throughout the society.  Each person has the opportunity to invest in himself or herself –produce, invent, take risks, run his or her own business, run his or her own life.  The prosperity that has accumulated in the community is available to the residents of the community as someone who has managed to sell a product to a buyer outside the community then gets a local haircut or pays someone to fix his roof. 
            In our system of dominant capitalism, all prosperity gravitates to the magnetic center of wealth.  The only option for making a living is to work for big capital.  The return for one’s work is just enough to sustain life.  If there is profit to be made from one’s contribution, it goes to the corporation.  Residents of the community pay for the roads which enable corporate food and other products to be delivered to retail outlets, and enable residents to go there for all the necessities of life.  People have been reduced to giving their all in exchange for just getting by, living at the end of a corporate umbilical cord.       

             

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Response to Comment

This is a reply to the comment from ttroszkowski. I'm sure there's another way to talk back and forth, but a post will work just fine until I find the better method.  First of all, thank you so very much for your comment.   
I'm a small business owner, so I think in terms of investment, and might step out of the Keynesian box.  We certainly are not in a period of surplus.  However, I think of the $660 billion just voted for the Pentagon as a sunken cost, money that is as good as spent already. I would like to see that money invested in constructive, productive equipment that would enable middle-class individuals to own the hardware of energy production.  We can close a few foreign bases of the 775 existing ones without any loss of our security.  That manpower which is already on the federal payroll can be much better invested in building our domestic production.  The Pentagon contracts for the material of warfare can be redirected towards producing the fixtures needed to make individual homeowners primary producers of electricity.
As a farmer, I take the risk of going into debt in order to buy molasses for my cows during the winter.  Hopefully, this investment will enrich my herd, and the whole business operation will benefit.  I am very careful with debt, my own and also our national debt.  But I feel that we must feed and heal our starved economy.

Friday, January 13, 2012

My Kind of Stimulus


I don't think there's any doubt that our economy in 2008 needed a little pick-me-up.  Right now it could use some tonic.  What's important is how the stimulus is applied.
Taking a wide-angle look at our economy, the biggest outlays of the last ten years have been the trillion dollars spent on the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, and the half trillion (or more) each year that we spend on the Pentagon, beyond war spending.  No wonder we are all poor here at home.
We won't dwell on that.  Let's make a list of all the 775 (at least) military bases we have outside the country.  Prioritize them in order of importance to our welfare.  Close a few of the least important, and bring the soldiers (or airmen or sailors or whatever they are) home.  We will put them to work right here.  They are public employees and we have a job for them.
The Civilian Conservation Corps of Franklin Roosevelt's time was a hybrid of Army and federally-hired civilians.  I would like to see a hybrid of these soldiers brought back from closed bases and members of the electricians union.  Let the trained electricians teach and supervise groups of soldiers.  Housing could be at bases in the U.S. 
The job would be installing the electrical hardware in people's basements that is a necessary component of a family's home power production system.  The cost of this component is often the stopper in a middle-class family's decision to invest in solar panels, small wind turbines, or other means of energy capture.  
Instead of awarding military contracts to U.S. factories to make destructive devices (bombs, drones, warplanes) let us spend our public money on contracts to U.S. factories to make the electrical hardware that our soldiers will be installing. 
Communities with at least 1000 applications will be put on the list first come, first served for the installation teams to come to their area.  Small communities can band together to meet the 1000 application requirement.
I am especially inspired to see the courage of Ron Paul to stand behind the policy of closing foreign bases.  Even more inspired to see how many supporters he has that see the sense in what he says.  I don't agree with everything he says but closing foreign bases and ending unnecessary wars is so big and so basic to our future that it trumps just about everything else. 

Saturday, January 7, 2012

About Taxes


The following is a text from a talk I gave.  This will give us something to start mulling over.
        
           This is our third annual public meeting on the economy.  If ever there was a subject that lent itself to varied and often inconsistent viewpoints, it is the economy.  Tonight, we’ll focus on the policy of collecting taxes based on property.  It has occurred to me as I planned for this program that most people, the sane ones, would rather have knee surgery than sit through a meeting about tax policy.  So thank you so much for being here.  I’m going to try to make this as listener-friendly as possible.  We’ll look at some different taxes and see what kind of footprint each leaves. 
            Income tax takes a bite out of wealth in motion.  On the plus side, it targets those most able to shoulder the burden of public expenses.  Also, nothing needs to be liquidated to pay these taxes, since they take a percentage of wealth that is already liquid.  However, it discourages the production of income, and in this way depresses activity.  Those most able to make income, the most profitable ones, are more apt to leave the area for a site where there is a tax policy more lenient for them.  The best justification for reliance on income tax to fund public needs is that it takes a community working in concert to produce income anywhere.
            Sales tax also takes its cut out of money in motion.  “Sales” is a misnomer:  it should be called by its true name, “purchases” tax.  We are asked on the state income tax return if we bought anything out of state and still owe taxes on that purchase.  We are not asked if we had out-of-state sales and still owe taxes on that transaction.  The sales tax discourages commerce within our area.  This has both a beneficial and a deleterious effect.  People will leave the area to do their shopping if they are able, so raising the sales tax in a small district leads to economic slowdown.  For every percentage hike in the sales tax, there will be diminished sales, even if consumers cannot go elsewhere.   On the bright side, an economic slowdown could arguably heighten the quality of life, if only we could reduce the public overhead.  The slavish cycle of consumption and the feverish labor to pay for this consumption have made life arduous and unhealthy—you couldn’t get a rat to live like that.   The exorbitant sales taxes charged on tobacco, for instance, have caused people to smoke less.   
            In my mind, the gasoline tax should have paid all costs brought on by the automobile/highway system from the very beginning.  This transportation system has never paid its own way, and is bleeding us dry.  Imagine if drivers had to pay the costs of repairing the roads they drive, maintaining these roads in the winter (paying the workers, buying and repairing the equipment, buying the salt and sand), paying the retirement and health insurance benefits of all workers and administration, current and retired, liabilities for injuries caused by the highway, the payroll for policing the highways, the cost of police cars, all the employment benefits for these police and their administration, current and retired.  Not to mention the environmental costs from the exhaust and the salt.  The myth has been that good roads would help us get our products to market.  The reality is that we have become the market and we no longer produce anything.  Local farms and small manufacturers have borne the brunt of these costs via property taxes--local producers have gone out of business while giant retailers have moved in.
            Technically, the social security “contribution” taken out of your paycheck is not a tax.  But when a portion of your income is taken by law and put into the general fund, I call it a tax.  I’m all in favor of the social security system of benefits for the old, as well as Medicare.  However, only earned income is taxed for social security (unearned income, such as interest from money-lending, is exempt), and only the first $80,000 or so are taxed.  So the social security tax has evolved into a special tax on labor, targeting those that earn the least. 
            I have called the lottery the special tax on fools, but the truth is, the ticket buyers are not so much foolish as they are desperate.  A huge portion of our population (I believe more than half) is in such desperate circumstances that it would take a miraculous windfall to make them solvent.
            Property tax is one elusive and interesting character.  Many renters are not aware that one half of their rental payments go directly towards property tax on their apartment buildings.  Are all properties subject to taxation?  No.  We tax visible, tangible property.  Income producing investments such as stocks and bonds are exempt from local taxes.  In the 1800’s, the property tax worked just fine.  It was about the only way to determine the approximate income of the residents, and their ability to contribute to the burden of local expenses.  Then in 1913, with the 16th amendment, the federal government began collecting income taxes, based on self-reporting by income earners.  That would have been a good time to convert our local taxation to income taxes, using data that was now available. With the help of the internet, it is now possible to generate lists from state tax returns for local use, for little cost and effort.  How many people do we pay right now to keep track of the value of local properties?  How much public expense could be eliminated without all that bureaucracy?   Our local officials try to make this system as fair as possible, but residents come to town meetings all the time to point out discrepancies in how their own home is valued compared to the neighbor’s.  Each time, there is a request for a revaluation.  Each time, this request is shot down when the cost of such a project is disclosed:  between $200,000 and $500,000.   
            To use visible property as a basis for taxation might require liquidation of the home or business, two dangers we will examine more closely. Throughout the 1900’s, local farms and businesses such as sawmills and fabricators were at a disadvantage in competition with producers from places where the costs of living were lower.  Because these businesses are visible and tangible, they were prime targets for property tax.  Local expenses rose while local businesses tightened their belts.  First came the decision not to advance the business:  build it up or adopt new technology; second came the decision not to replace worn-out equipment; then the draw-down of reserve cash—the savings of generations for family businesses; lastly, resorting to debt to finance taxes which are not based on the availability of liquid funds.  Even the most stalwart go out of business.  The overall result has been the erosion of the productive industry to near completion in our community:  We no longer produce, we consume.  Also, as fewer people were living on farms, and fewer were self-employed, property taxes have evolved into a special tax on homes.
            Local officials explain their bias towards property tax by saying that it keeps public revenue stable and they know from year to year what they can count on, regardless of the ups and downs of the economy.     
            Homeowners can look forward to the same downward spiral as small local businesses.  Those whose income has been interrupted by the fall of the stock market or lay-offs or extraordinary medical expenses will first forego expenditures that advance their family, such as education; second, forego repairs; third, use any savings; and then, resort to debt.  When they no longer can come up with the liquid cash to pay taxes on their visible, tangible home, they will be forced to sell it.  Since the majority of us depend on outside sources of income, a collapse of the economy outside our control could leave much of the population homeless.  Why don’t we have a legal provision to dissolve property tax obligation if we were to enter another depression?  If that never came to pass, there would be no harm done.  If the economy were to collapse, homes would be protected.
            Property taxes include the school tax, which is also based on property.  The rising expense of our ineffective school system is a problem complex enough to deserve its own public discussion, and maybe it should be the topic for next year’s public meeting on the economy.  
            Those people who were miffed by the recent government bail-outs to banks and insurance companies might well be outraged that these industries have enjoyed sweetheart status for the entire history of our country.  The greatest public needs arise and are paid for at the local level.  The local bank paid property tax on its storefront, but the real profit-making property was all on the inside—not assessed and not taxed.  All the businesses dealing in intangible assets have been essentially exempt from the local burdens of schools, highways, and poverty alleviation.  Suppose there were twins—let’s call them Bobby and Booby.  From the beginning, they have dressed the same, slept in the same kind of bed, played with the same toys, and eaten the same food, with one exception:  every morning, Mom slips Bobby a piece of bacon, but gives none to Booby.  At lunch, Bobby has more strength and energy and is able to compete for more of the food.  By dinnertime, Bobby is even in better shape and at more of an advantage than Booby.  Every morning, Bobby gets the extra piece of bacon, and over time, he has come to look like the Incredible Hulk, and Booby looks like Popeye without spinach.  The history of our local economy has been the story of preferential taxation.
            The system of using tangible property as a basis for taxation necessarily depletes an area.  Let’s suppose someone has $10,000 to invest.  If he uses it to build a chicken coop in the back yard, he will be taxed right from day one on the initial $10,000 investment, even if this venture never makes any income at all.  If he put his money in the stock market, he would never need to contribute at all to the burden of local expenses, even if that investment were to make extraordinary income.  Imagine if investors in stocks and bonds were taxed every year on the assessed value of their holdings.  Over the last century, productive facilities have shrunk and few have put their capital into new ventures.
            A locality that bases its tax collection on real property has an economy founded on quicksand.  It necessarily and progressively becomes depleted, as has actually happened in our own county. Even if all of us agree that we want to change the basis for local taxation, we all know that the decision to allow that change to happen rests elsewhere and is completely outside our control.  Until we free ourselves of the property tax there is no chance of achieving prosperity, or even hope for economic recovery.  This is a dismal economic prospect, and, even worse, a sad comment on the state of our democracy.